ilmscore | Federal Reserve Policy Predictions
60.5%
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 152
Correct: 26
Incorrect: 17
Pending: 109
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Lowering interest rates through Federal Reserve appointments could benefit the job and stock markets but exacerbate inflation.
"if they can get more people in the Fed to vote for lower interest rates, well, that can then drive i..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The Trump administration favors lower interest rates and increased economic stimulus.
"the Trump administration, the government wants lower interest rates. They want more stimulus."
Jan 9, 2026
Incorrect
President Trump is advocating for lower interest rates.
"President Trump wants lower interest rates."
Jan 9, 2026
Correct
President Trump desires lower interest rates.
"President Trump wants lower interest rates."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve ended Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1, 2025, shifting from removing money from the economy to printing more.
"On December 1st, 2025, the Federal Reserve Bank flipped their economic policy by ending QT. What tha..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve injected money into the economy on December 2, 2025, the day after ending QT.
"Because on December 2nd, one day after the Fed ended QT, the Fed printed 13 and"
Jan 7, 2026
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve ended Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1, 2025, shifting from removing money to injecting it into the economy.
"On December 1st, 2025, the Federal Reserve Bank flipped their economic policy by ending QT. What tha..."
Jan 7, 2026
Incorrect
President Trump intends to appoint a Federal Reserve chairperson who will aggressively cut interest rates.
"President Trump has said that he's not going to pick anybody who is going to disagree with what he s..."
Jan 5, 2026
Incorrect
Central banks are expected to increase liquidity ('turn the money printers back on') in 2026.
"And the macro winds are shifting in our favor as central banks prepare to turn the money printers ba..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st is seen as a precursor to future liquidity expansion.
"On December 1st, the Fed officially ended QT. They have stopped draining liquidity. And history tell..."
Jan 2, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve has been lowering interest rates throughout 2025.
"So what we've been seeing happen is that in 2025, the Federal Reserve Bank has been cutting interest..."
Jan 1, 2026
Correct
The Federal Reserve ended quantitative tightening on December 1st, 2025, and resumed money printing the next day, injecting over $13 billion into the economy.
"And then on December 1st, 2025, the Federal Reserve Bank announced the end of quantitative tightenin..."
Jan 1, 2026
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve plans to inject an additional $40 billion per month into the economy through money printing to stimulate growth.
"They committed to an additional $40 billion a month of money printing to inject this money into our ..."
Jan 1, 2026
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve ended quantitative tightening on December 1st, 2025, shifting to money printing.
"On December 1st, 2025, the Federal Reserve Bank flipped their economic policy by ending QT, quantita..."
Dec 29, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker believes the Federal Reserve committee will cut interest rates more aggressively with the new Fed chair starting in May.
"it is my belief that with the new Fed chair coming in May, the committee is going to cut interest ra..."
Dec 29, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve plans to purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills monthly, a move interpreted by some as a form of QE or market priming for increased liquidity in 2026.
"the Fed would start buying $40 billion in Treasury bills over the next 30 days."
Dec 15, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the Federal Reserve would buy $40 billion of US Treasury bills within 30 days of December 11, 2025.
"Fed will buy $40 billion of US Treasury bills in the next 30 days"
Dec 11, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the Federal Reserve would begin purchasing US Treasury bills on December 12, 2025.
"Fed will begin purchasing US Treasury bills on December 12th."
Dec 11, 2025
Correct
Predicted the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates by 25 basis points on December 10, 2025.
"I mean, there's a very high probability that it's going to be a 25 basis point raise."
Dec 10, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that the FOMC rate decision on December 10, 2025, would be the last interest rate cut of the year 2025.
"This is going to be the last possible rate cut of 2025."
Dec 10, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the market would react negatively to the Fed's non-committal stance regarding future rate cuts.
"I don't think the market is going to like that."
Dec 7, 2025
Correct
Predicted that future rate cuts would be implemented due to negative economic conditions, not a healthy economy.
"and then you're getting rate cuts for all the wrong reasons."
Dec 7, 2025
Pending
Predicted the Federal Reserve will start printing money and boosting markets in 2026 to stimulate the economy.
"that means that the Federal Reserve Bank wants to start printing money and boosting markets again as..."
Dec 5, 2025
Pending
If the Federal Reserve votes 10-2 or 11-1 to cut rates at their upcoming meeting, and subsequently the Fed Chairman pushes for rate cuts, the federal funds rate could reach 1% by the end of the following year, influenced by a dovish stance aligned with Trump's views.
"If the Fed caves and there's a 102 111 vote or something like that at next week's meeting, they all ..."
Dec 5, 2025
Incorrect
A 7-5 or 8-4 vote split at the FOMC meeting would diminish the influence of the Fed Chair, making individual votes more critical.
"If that happens, we get a 7584 vote. Then all bets are off. Whatever Paul says at the next meeting d..."
Dec 5, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve will end quantitative tightening on December 1st, indicating an intention to print money and stimulate markets and the economy in 2026.
"The Fed just announced that they're going to end quantitative tightening come December 1st. In plain..."
Dec 4, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve Bank is predicted to change its economic policy on December 1st, 2025.
"On December 1st, 2025, the Federal Reserve Bank is going to flip their economic policy again."
Nov 24, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve Bank will end quantitative tightening on December 1, 2025, signaling a shift to money printing and market stimulation for the economy in 2026.
"On December 1st, 2025, the Federal Reserve Bank is going to flip their economic policy again. And mo..."
Nov 24, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve Bank intends to begin printing money and stimulating markets in 2026 to boost the economy.
"the Federal Reserve Bank wants to start printing money and boosting markets again as we go into 2026..."
Nov 24, 2025
Pending
There are differing views within the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts: some propose a 0.5% cut, others a 0.25% cut, some no cut, and many advocate for no cuts for the remainder of the year.
"some of the members wanted a half point interest rate cuts. Some wanted a quarter point cuts, some w..."
Nov 21, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve will cease quantitative tightening (QT) starting in December.
"Starting in December, the Federal Reserve is ending quantitative tightening."
Nov 21, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is aggressively lowering interest rates and preparing to restart money printing, potentially as early as Q1 2026.
"the Federal Reserve is right now aggressively lowering interest rates and they're getting ready to t..."
Nov 10, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is aggressively cutting interest rates, has halted quantitative tightening (QT), and is considering quantitative easing (QE).
"they're cutting interest rates so aggressively and that's why they're they stopped the QT and now th..."
Nov 10, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is expected to continue easing monetary policy, with quantitative tightening (QT) coming to an end.
"On the macro front, we have continued easing from the Federal Reserve with Fed Chairman Jerome Powel..."
Nov 7, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is expected to continue easing monetary policy, with quantitative tightening (QT) coming to an end.
"On the macro front, we have continued easing from the Federal Reserve with Fed Chairman Jerome Powel..."
Nov 7, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is starting to cut interest rates, which will make borrowing cheaper for individuals and businesses.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is beginning to cut interest rates. Now what do lower interest rates do? Lo..."
Oct 28, 2025
Correct
Historically, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates multiple times (17) prior to the 2008 crash to cool the economy.
"leading up to the 2008 crash, the Federal Reserve Bank raised interest rates 17 times as a way to co..."
Oct 28, 2025
Correct
Leading up to the 2000 dot-com bubble burst, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates 10 times due to concerns about asset prices and inflation.
"the Fed started to get worried about asset prices and inflation. So the Federal Reserve Bank raised ..."
Oct 28, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve may end its monetary tightening cycle as early as the current month, potentially in conjunction with next week's meeting.
"The tightening cycle is going to end sooner than they thought. They're saying that the Federal Reser..."
Oct 24, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates and cease monetary tightening is considered inflationary due to the resulting easier monetary policy.
"The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, right? And of course, that's inflationary because it'..."
Oct 24, 2025
Correct
Jerome Powell has indicated that quantitative tightening (QT) will end, potentially leading to more rate cuts and increased liquidity.
"Jerome Pal notes that QT will be coming to an end soon. So that opens the door to more rate cuts and..."
Oct 20, 2025
Correct
Jerome Powell has indicated that quantitative tightening (QT) will end, which could lead to more rate cuts and increased liquidity.
"Jerome Pal notes that QT will be coming to an end soon. So that opens the door to more rate cuts and..."
Oct 20, 2025
Correct
Jerome Powell has indicated that quantitative tightening (QT) will cease, which may lead to further interest rate cuts and increased market liquidity.
"Jerome Pal notes that QT will be coming to an end soon. So that opens the door to more rate cuts and..."
Oct 20, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates to stimulate the economy and revive the labor market through easier monetary policy, in response to the worsening labor market conditions.
"And this is why the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates. They're looking at this and they're t..."
Oct 6, 2025
Correct
Predicted the Federal Reserve will become significantly more dovish within 3-6 months if new individuals join the Fed.
"If we get a few individuals down here, suddenly we'll have a Federal Reserve that is even way more d..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted the Federal Reserve will become massively more dovish if the market experiences significant instability during the fall and winter of 2025.
"If they shake this market over the fall and winter time, get ready for the next Fed meeting and the ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Correct
Predicted the Federal Reserve will become massively more dovish at upcoming meetings if the market shakes significantly during the fall and winter.
"If they shake this market over the fall and winter time, get ready for the next Fed meeting and the ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to pivot and begin lowering interest rates.
"The point is that the Fed will start to what economists call pivot and go in the opposite direction ..."
Aug 29, 2025
Correct
Stated that the Federal Reserve is expecting rate cuts.
"their signal is very clear. They're expecting rate cuts."
Aug 22, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to switch to quantitative easing (money printing), possibly initiated by Jay Powell.
"They're going to switch to quantitative easing and you know in layman's term that's that's just mone..."
Jul 21, 2025
Pending